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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
fantasy7788FlaznorpilyhoMD14
Record (consensus markets)52% (16–15, n=31)71% (2619–1078, n=3697)100% (1–0, n=1)81% (22–5, n=27)
Consensus PnL$795K$482K$19K$328K
Tracked asPM monthly #19PM monthly #10PM monthly #953PM monthly #116
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position55% (151 of 275 open)0% (0 of 3 open)0% (0 of 1 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NBA +20 pts n=17, ROI +16%
Weakest topic—College Basketball −4 pts, n=174——
Settled positions, side won100% of 17 at avg 48¢, ROI +53%44% of 1017 at avg 44¢, ROI −3%—92% of 24 at avg 71¢, ROI +22%
Entries under 30¢6% (won 100% of 1)40% (won 5% of 409)—4% (won 0% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢53% (won 100% of 9)22% (won 41% of 222)—13% (won 100% of 3)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 6)11% (won 64% of 115)—21% (won 80% of 5)
Entries 70¢ and up6% (won 100% of 1)27% (won 94% of 271)—63% (won 100% of 15)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketfantasy7788FlaznorpilyhoMD14
Mavericks vs. Cavaliers
same side · consensus Mavericks
—Cavaliers $11K—Cavaliers $1.2K