← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| elenaarybakin21 | twinna | lineth | Sisyphus- | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 48% (77–85, n=162) | 50% (214–217, n=431) | 95% (510–28, n=538) |
| Consensus PnL | — | $60K | $91K | $466K |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #941 | PM monthly #408 | PM monthly #835 | PM monthly #167 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 82% (9 of 11 open) | 44% (4 of 9 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
|
|
| |
| Weakest topic | — | NHL −7 pts, n=103 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 50% of 468 at avg 37¢, ROI +9% | 49% of 197 at avg 47¢, ROI +7% | 63% of 429 at avg 46¢, ROI +17% | 99% of 714 at avg 59¢, ROI +38% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 30% (won 29% of 139) | 18% (won 11% of 36) | 41% (won 29% of 177) | 2% (won 93% of 15) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 56% (won 55% of 260) | 39% (won 46% of 76) | 14% (won 72% of 58) | 25% (won 98% of 176) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 12% (won 67% of 55) | 32% (won 60% of 63) | 16% (won 84% of 67) | 48% (won 99% of 342) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 3% (won 100% of 14) | 11% (won 86% of 22) | 30% (won 94% of 127) | 25% (won 100% of 181) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.