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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
e46m3gmpm2keeptheblueflagflyinghighpolbot2
Record (consensus markets)17% (155–754, n=909)100% (1–0, n=1)42% (44–60, n=104)no settled market
Consensus PnL$536K$255K$117K—
Tracked asPM monthly #2PM monthly #17PM monthly #39PM monthly #928
Sides with the consensus74% (316 of 429 open)0% (0 of 1 open)54% (15 of 28 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • Crypto +45 pts n=124, ROI +67%
  • Soccer +16 pts n=1174, ROI +26%
  • NBA +14 pts n=146, ROI +19%
  • NBA +52 pts n=428, ROI +51%
  • NHL +44 pts n=75, ROI +43%
  • Tennis +43 pts n=87, ROI +48%
not computed yet
Weakest topicNFL −6 pts, n=17NBA −17 pts, n=33——
Settled positions, side won62% of 5804 at avg 54¢, ROI +30%57% of 527 at avg 56¢, ROI +4%100% of 691 at avg 51¢, ROI +48%—
Entries under 30¢38% (won 18% of 2197)4% (won 32% of 22)2% (won 100% of 16)—
Entries 30–50¢7% (won 53% of 397)31% (won 45% of 163)49% (won 100% of 338)—
Entries 50–70¢9% (won 71% of 531)46% (won 57% of 244)40% (won 100% of 278)—
Entries 70¢ and up46% (won 97% of 2679)19% (won 85% of 98)9% (won 100% of 59)—

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Markete46m3gmpm2keeptheblueflagflyinghighpolbot2
Bills vs. Vikings: O/U 44.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $210Over $569—