← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| e46m3 | gmpm2 | Macks22 | SineNooneEI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 17% (156–789, n=945) | 100% (1–0, n=1) | no settled market | 100% (1–0, n=1) |
| Consensus PnL | $536K | $256K | — | $111K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #17 | Hand-picked | PM monthly #106 |
| Sides with the consensus | 73% (320 of 441 open) | 0% (0 of 1 open) | no open consensus position | 100% (1 of 1 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| ||
| Weakest topic | NFL −6 pts, n=17 | NBA −17 pts, n=33 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 62% of 5804 at avg 54¢, ROI +30% | 57% of 527 at avg 56¢, ROI +4% | 78% of 101 at avg 72¢, ROI +23% | 83% of 1141 at avg 54¢, ROI +19% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 38% (won 18% of 2197) | 4% (won 32% of 22) | 6% (won 0% of 6) | 5% (won 62% of 61) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 7% (won 53% of 397) | 31% (won 45% of 163) | 8% (won 63% of 8) | 35% (won 75% of 397) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 9% (won 71% of 531) | 46% (won 57% of 244) | 28% (won 71% of 28) | 43% (won 88% of 492) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 46% (won 97% of 2679) | 19% (won 85% of 98) | 58% (won 92% of 59) | 17% (won 95% of 191) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.