← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| dotethguy | bamesjond | PatienceCapital | imnice | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 88% (130–18, n=148) | 47% (40–46, n=86) | 86% (63–10, n=73) |
| Consensus PnL | — | -$572K | $475K | $4.7K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #609 | Hand-picked | was PM monthly #269 | was PM monthly #900 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 100% (4 of 4 open) | no open consensus position | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | Elections −8 pts, n=11 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 76% of 235 at avg 71¢, ROI +1% | 95% of 1059 at avg 92¢, ROI +2% | 84% of 44 at avg 43¢, ROI +45% | 86% of 103 at avg 72¢, ROI +6% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 15% (won 20% of 35) | 5% (won 12% of 52) | 14% (won 33% of 6) | 17% (won 39% of 18) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 9% (won 50% of 20) | 1% (won 63% of 8) | 39% (won 88% of 17) | 9% (won 67% of 9) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 15% (won 69% of 36) | 3% (won 77% of 30) | 48% (won 95% of 21) | 6% (won 100% of 6) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 61% (won 94% of 144) | 92% (won 100% of 969) | 0% | 68% (won 100% of 70) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.