PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
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Record (consensus markets)no settled market48% (11699–12471, n=24170)56% (100–79, n=179)69% (43–19, n=62)
Consensus PnL—$13.4M$3.5M$5.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #955Hand-pickedwas PM monthly #373was PM monthly #24
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position73% (11 of 15 open)no open consensus position100% (2 of 2 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • MLB +45 pts n=19, ROI +49%
  • Soccer +34 pts n=45, ROI +38%
  • Esports +35 pts n=26, ROI +48%
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
Weakest topic———NBA −4 pts, n=96
Settled positions, side won—94% of 23702 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%96% of 100 at avg 58¢, ROI +42%57% of 216 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%
Entries under 30¢—10% (won 56% of 2452)7% (won 86% of 7)3% (won 17% of 6)
Entries 30–50¢—22% (won 94% of 5319)24% (won 96% of 24)29% (won 57% of 63)
Entries 50–70¢—36% (won 99% of 8623)44% (won 98% of 44)55% (won 53% of 118)
Entries 70¢ and up—31% (won 100% of 7308)25% (won 96% of 25)13% (won 86% of 29)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.