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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
buoysRN1
Record (consensus markets)48% (673–724, n=1397)47% (13371–14881, n=28252)
Consensus PnL$93K$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #953PM monthly #30 + pinned
Sides with the consensus31% (15 of 48 open)60% (128 of 215 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topicScience −7 pts, n=13—
Settled positions, side won47% of 1635 at avg 41¢, ROI +2%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢41% (won 12% of 676)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 47% of 257)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢19% (won 67% of 309)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up24% (won 91% of 393)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.