Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

sainttroplay: no tracked trader by that name or wallet.

Traders side by side
btnaprimmRN1
Record (consensus markets)68% (42–20, n=62)50% (1106–1118, n=2224)47% (14133–15621, n=29754)
Consensus PnL$56K$3.6M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #520PM monthly #46PM monthly #29 + pinned
Sides with the consensus64% (7 of 11 open)no open consensus position58% (78 of 134 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won67% of 42 at avg 53¢, ROI +14%99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢26% (won 36% of 11)5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢14% (won 67% of 6)41% (won 99% of 405)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢33% (won 64% of 14)49% (won 99% of 485)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up26% (won 100% of 11)5% (won 100% of 46)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketbtnaprimmRN1
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $5.1K—Under $2.4K