PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
brtebeachboy40x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241BreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)89% (8–1, n=9)69% (43–19, n=62)56% (101–79, n=180)45% (502–616, n=1118)
Consensus PnL$4.6K$5.8M$3.5M$11.1M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #936was PM monthly #24was PM monthly #373PM monthly #1
Sides with the consensus88% (14 of 16 open)100% (2 of 2 open)no open consensus position69% (24 of 35 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
  • MLB +46 pts n=20, ROI +49%
  • Esports +35 pts n=28, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +30 pts n=52, ROI +38%
  • NFL +51 pts n=121, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=72, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=276, ROI +38%
Weakest topic—NBA −6 pts, n=91——
Settled positions, side won100% of 8 at avg 89¢, ROI +11%57% of 211 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42%97% of 515 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢0%3% (won 17% of 6)7% (won 75% of 8)10% (won 85% of 53)
Entries 30–50¢0%29% (won 56% of 62)26% (won 93% of 29)35% (won 98% of 181)
Entries 50–70¢0%54% (won 52% of 114)42% (won 96% of 47)34% (won 99% of 176)
Entries 70¢ and up100% (won 100% of 8)14% (won 86% of 29)24% (won 96% of 27)20% (won 100% of 105)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketbrtebeachboy40x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241BreakTheBank
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $4.5K——Yes $36K
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $10K——No $3.5K
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $2.0K——Yes $3.2K
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $4.0K——Yes $252K
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
same side · consensus No
No $4.0K——No $37K