← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| brte | RN1 | BreakTheBank | beachboy4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 48% (11712–12496, n=24208) | 45% (501–606, n=1107) | 69% (43–19, n=62) |
| Consensus PnL | — | $13.4M | $12.1M | $5.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #953 | Hand-picked | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #24 |
| Sides with the consensus | 100% (16 of 16 open) | 60% (41 of 68 open) | 69% (24 of 35 open) | 100% (2 of 2 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | NBA −6 pts, n=91 |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 8 at avg 89¢, ROI +11% | 94% of 23809 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 97% of 515 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 57% of 211 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 0% | 10% (won 56% of 2460) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 3% (won 17% of 6) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 0% | 22% (won 94% of 5335) | 35% (won 98% of 181) | 29% (won 56% of 62) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 0% | 36% (won 99% of 8653) | 34% (won 99% of 176) | 54% (won 52% of 114) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 100% (won 100% of 8) | 31% (won 100% of 7361) | 20% (won 100% of 105) | 14% (won 86% of 29) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | brte | RN1 | BreakTheBank | beachboy4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $4.5K | — | Yes $34K | — |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $10K | — | No $1.6K | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $2.0K | — | Yes $2.8K | — |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $3.9K | — | Yes $248K | — |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus No | No $3.9K | — | No $36K | — |