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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| brte | RN1 | 00gringo00 | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 48% (11719–12501, n=24220) | 75% (6–2, n=8) | 45% (501–606, n=1107) |
| Consensus PnL | — | $13.4M | $3.5M | $12.1M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #953 | Hand-picked | was PM monthly #19 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 100% (16 of 16 open) | 60% (40 of 67 open) | no open consensus position | 67% (22 of 33 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
| none with 10+ settled | |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 8 at avg 89¢, ROI +11% | 94% of 23809 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% | 97% of 515 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 0% | 10% (won 56% of 2460) | 0% | 10% (won 85% of 53) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 0% | 22% (won 94% of 5335) | 0% | 35% (won 98% of 181) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 0% | 36% (won 99% of 8653) | 100% (won 86% of 7) | 34% (won 99% of 176) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 100% (won 100% of 8) | 31% (won 100% of 7361) | 0% | 20% (won 100% of 105) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | brte | RN1 | 00gringo00 | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $4.5K | — | — | Yes $34K |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $10K | — | — | No $1.6K |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $2.0K | — | — | Yes $3.0K |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $3.9K | — | — | Yes $248K |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus No | No $3.9K | — | — | No $36K |