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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| brte | BreakTheBank | sainttroplay | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 45% (501–606, n=1107) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 56% (100–79, n=179) |
| Consensus PnL | — | $12.1M | $4.4M | $3.5M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #953 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #11 | was PM monthly #373 |
| Sides with the consensus | 100% (16 of 16 open) | 70% (23 of 33 open) | no open consensus position | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 8 at avg 89¢, ROI +11% | 97% of 515 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 0% | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 0% | 7% (won 75% of 8) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 0% | 35% (won 98% of 181) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 26% (won 93% of 29) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 0% | 34% (won 99% of 176) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 42% (won 96% of 47) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 100% (won 100% of 8) | 20% (won 100% of 105) | 0% | 24% (won 96% of 27) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | brte | BreakTheBank | sainttroplay | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $4.5K | Yes $34K | — | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $2.0K | Yes $1.7K | — | — |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $3.9K | Yes $248K | — | — |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus No | No $3.9K | No $36K | — | — |