PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
brteBreakTheBank0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241beachboy4
Record (consensus markets)no settled market45% (501–606, n=1107)56% (100–79, n=179)69% (43–19, n=62)
Consensus PnL—$12.1M$3.5M$5.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #953PM monthly #1was PM monthly #373was PM monthly #24
Sides with the consensus100% (16 of 16 open)70% (23 of 33 open)no open consensus position100% (2 of 2 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • NFL +51 pts n=121, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=72, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=276, ROI +38%
  • MLB +46 pts n=20, ROI +49%
  • Esports +35 pts n=28, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +30 pts n=52, ROI +38%
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
Weakest topic———NBA −6 pts, n=91
Settled positions, side won100% of 8 at avg 89¢, ROI +11%97% of 515 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42%57% of 211 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%
Entries under 30¢0%10% (won 85% of 53)7% (won 75% of 8)3% (won 17% of 6)
Entries 30–50¢0%35% (won 98% of 181)26% (won 93% of 29)29% (won 56% of 62)
Entries 50–70¢0%34% (won 99% of 176)42% (won 96% of 47)54% (won 52% of 114)
Entries 70¢ and up100% (won 100% of 8)20% (won 100% of 105)24% (won 96% of 27)14% (won 86% of 29)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketbrteBreakTheBank0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241beachboy4
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $4.5KYes $34K——
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $2.0KYes $1.7K——
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $3.9KYes $248K——
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
same side · consensus No
No $3.9KNo $36K——