PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
brokemaxdegenRock.Sanvfhjghj12312340xdeff55f3132a313985035c34539e94da7b9178f8
Record (consensus markets)no settled market94% (7221–482, n=7703)89% (47–6, n=53)95% (247–12, n=259)
Consensus PnL—$142K$65K$128K
Tracked asPM monthly #895was PM monthly #998PM monthly #265PM monthly #620
Sides with the consensus100% (1 of 1 open)100% (1 of 1 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • MMA +7 pts n=51, ROI +2%
  • Soccer +17 pts n=11, ROI +41%
Weakest topic—Crypto −1 pts, n=2254——
Settled positions, side won67% of 70 at avg 59¢, ROI +12%94% of 6252 at avg 94¢, ROI 0%90% of 41 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%97% of 304 at avg 52¢, ROI +45%
Entries under 30¢7% (won 40% of 5)4% (won 6% of 268)0%6% (won 83% of 18)
Entries 30–50¢14% (won 30% of 10)1% (won 33% of 83)22% (won 67% of 9)29% (won 97% of 88)
Entries 50–70¢54% (won 71% of 38)2% (won 62% of 112)68% (won 100% of 28)63% (won 98% of 190)
Entries 70¢ and up24% (won 88% of 17)93% (won 99% of 5789)10% (won 75% of 4)3% (won 100% of 8)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.