PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
brokemaxdegenyen4uhedgevaultmainnet10xe98c6194374418b1d1b27321f025bd64ac2c8792
Record (consensus markets)no settled market91% (654–64, n=718)57% (1799–1380, n=3179)92% (213–18, n=231)
Consensus PnL—$67K$196K$434K
Tracked asPM monthly #895PM monthly #596PM monthly #589PM monthly #901
Sides with the consensus100% (1 of 1 open)89% (41 of 46 open)45% (10 of 22 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • MMA +7 pts n=51, ROI +2%
  • Soccer +17 pts n=11, ROI +41%
  • Soccer +29 pts n=1149, ROI +20%
  • NFL +31 pts n=25, ROI +23%
  • NBA +29 pts n=26, ROI +12%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won67% of 70 at avg 59¢, ROI +12%94% of 613 at avg 90¢, ROI +3%95% of 1206 at avg 66¢, ROI +19%98% of 335 at avg 52¢, ROI +47%
Entries under 30¢7% (won 40% of 5)4% (won 26% of 27)7% (won 64% of 88)3% (won 90% of 10)
Entries 30–50¢14% (won 30% of 10)2% (won 57% of 14)15% (won 91% of 184)36% (won 98% of 120)
Entries 50–70¢54% (won 71% of 38)5% (won 80% of 30)27% (won 96% of 331)59% (won 98% of 197)
Entries 70¢ and up24% (won 88% of 17)88% (won 99% of 542)50% (won 100% of 603)2% (won 100% of 8)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.