PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
brokemaxdegenaveragejoetraders
Record (consensus markets)no settled market59% (315–216, n=531)
Consensus PnL—$53K
Tracked asPM monthly #903PM monthly #323
Sides with the consensus0% (0 of 1 open)56% (10 of 18 open)
Strongest topics
  • MMA +7 pts n=51, ROI +2%
  • Soccer +17 pts n=11, ROI +41%
Weakest topic——
Settled positions, side won67% of 70 at avg 59¢, ROI +12%100% of 225 at avg 65¢, ROI +40%
Entries under 30¢7% (won 40% of 5)6% (won 100% of 14)
Entries 30–50¢14% (won 30% of 10)16% (won 100% of 37)
Entries 50–70¢54% (won 71% of 38)29% (won 100% of 66)
Entries 70¢ and up24% (won 88% of 17)48% (won 100% of 108)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.