PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
brokemaxdegenberlinskies0xdeff55f3132a313985035c34539e94da7b9178f8
Record (consensus markets)no settled market58% (4742–3407, n=8149)95% (246–12, n=258)
Consensus PnL—$46K$128K
Tracked asPM monthly #893PM monthly #312PM monthly #623
Sides with the consensus0% (0 of 1 open)85% (11 of 13 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • MMA +7 pts n=51, ROI +2%
  • Soccer +17 pts n=11, ROI +41%
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won67% of 70 at avg 59¢, ROI +12%98% of 1841 at avg 62¢, ROI +43%97% of 304 at avg 52¢, ROI +45%
Entries under 30¢7% (won 40% of 5)6% (won 91% of 115)6% (won 83% of 18)
Entries 30–50¢14% (won 30% of 10)21% (won 97% of 389)29% (won 97% of 88)
Entries 50–70¢54% (won 71% of 38)35% (won 99% of 643)63% (won 98% of 190)
Entries 70¢ and up24% (won 88% of 17)38% (won 100% of 694)3% (won 100% of 8)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.