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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| borderlocket | BanfieldChris | RN1 | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 98% (44–1, n=45) | 69% (25–11, n=36) | 48% (12121–12955, n=25076) | 45% (484–601, n=1085) |
| Consensus PnL | $19K | $29K | $13.4M | $9.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #711 | PM monthly #688 | Hand-picked | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | no open consensus position | 49% (20 of 41 open) | 75% (27 of 36 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 40 at avg 59¢, ROI +41% | 96% of 24 at avg 50¢, ROI +44% | 94% of 23702 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 98% of 494 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 8% (won 100% of 3) | 4% (won 0% of 1) | 10% (won 56% of 2452) | 11% (won 87% of 52) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 25% (won 100% of 10) | 29% (won 100% of 7) | 22% (won 94% of 5319) | 34% (won 98% of 169) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 33% (won 100% of 13) | 67% (won 100% of 16) | 36% (won 99% of 8623) | 34% (won 99% of 170) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 35% (won 100% of 14) | 0% | 31% (won 100% of 7308) | 21% (won 100% of 103) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | borderlocket | BanfieldChris | RN1 | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Nuggets (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Nuggets | — | — | Warriors $1.2K | Nuggets $317K |