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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
boltbisonBreakTheBankndb1RN1
Record (consensus markets)54% (14–12, n=26)45% (573–710, n=1283)65% (902–484, n=1386)47% (13886–15398, n=29284)
Consensus PnL$19K$9.4M$4.8M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #951PM monthly #3PM monthly #102PM monthly #29 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position68% (23 of 34 open)71% (107 of 151 open)56% (15 of 27 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
Weakest topic——NFL −9 pts, n=139—
Settled positions, side won100% of 14 at avg 56¢, ROI +42%97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢21% (won 100% of 3)11% (won 80% of 61)13% (won 15% of 168)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢7% (won 100% of 1)35% (won 98% of 203)20% (won 39% of 256)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢36% (won 100% of 5)35% (won 100% of 201)24% (won 58% of 314)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up36% (won 100% of 5)20% (won 100% of 115)43% (won 93% of 550)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketboltbisonBreakTheBankndb1RN1
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
—No $407KNo $335K—
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $278KYes $11K—