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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
biying88888BreakTheBankjoseph00677ndb1
Record (consensus markets)66% (149–78, n=227)41% (587–850, n=1437)45% (10–12, n=22)63% (1014–591, n=1605)
Consensus PnL-$5.7K$7.6M$5.3M$4.8M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #984PM monthly #3PM monthly #2PM monthly #98
Sides with the consensus67% (2 of 3 open)88% (29 of 33 open)no open consensus position72% (63 of 87 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
Weakest topic———NFL −8 pts, n=147
Settled positions, side won100% of 112 at avg 49¢, ROI +49%97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢0%10% (won 82% of 60)12% (won 0% of 2)13% (won 14% of 187)
Entries 30–50¢54% (won 100% of 61)36% (won 98% of 212)6% (won 0% of 1)19% (won 39% of 269)
Entries 50–70¢45% (won 100% of 50)35% (won 100% of 205)65% (won 73% of 11)23% (won 57% of 328)
Entries 70¢ and up1% (won 100% of 1)20% (won 100% of 116)18% (won 67% of 3)44% (won 94% of 622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketbiying88888BreakTheBankjoseph00677ndb1
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
—No $409K—No $337K
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $280K—Yes $11K