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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| beachboy4 | primm | RN1 | UnderperformingForALiving | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 50% (1120–1127, n=2247) | 47% (14272–15777, n=30049) | 40% (78–118, n=196) |
| Consensus PnL | — | $3.6M | $14.8M | $312K |
| Tracked as | — | PM monthly #50 | PM monthly #29 + pinned | PM monthly #41 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 61% (11 of 18 open) | 45% (29 of 64 open) | 60% (3 of 5 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
|
| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | Geopolitics −9 pts, n=48 |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 99% of 1020 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 94% of 25960 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 50% of 197 at avg 52¢, ROI +1% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 5% (won 94% of 51) | 10% (won 57% of 2588) | 19% (won 14% of 37) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 41% (won 99% of 418) | 22% (won 94% of 5673) | 27% (won 44% of 54) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 49% (won 99% of 504) | 35% (won 99% of 9163) | 30% (won 58% of 59) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 5% (won 100% of 47) | 33% (won 100% of 8536) | 24% (won 77% of 47) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | beachboy4 | primm | RN1 | UnderperformingForALiving |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Arizona (-13.5) opposite sides · consensus TCU | — | TCU $7.6K | Arizona $621 | — |
| Spread: Arizona (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus TCU | — | TCU $2.0K | Arizona $788 | — |
| Spread: Arizona (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus TCU | — | TCU $537 | Arizona $2.0K | — |
| Spread: Arizona (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Arizona | — | TCU $1.4K | Arizona $1.1K | — |
| Spread: Arizona (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Arizona | — | TCU $521 | Arizona $848 | — |
| Spread: Arizona (-8.5) same side · consensus Arizona | — | TCU $495 | TCU $1.5K | — |
| TCU vs. Arizona: O/U 43.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Over $332 | Over $1.3K | — |