Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
beachboy4nehcnehc
Record (consensus markets)no settled market61% (4006–2605, n=6611)
Consensus PnL—-$860K
Tracked as—PM monthly #627
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position83% (5 of 6 open)
Strongest topics
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
Weakest topicNBA −6 pts, n=93Politics −7 pts, n=125
Settled positions, side won57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%63% of 8890 at avg 64¢, ROI 0%
Entries under 30¢3% (won 17% of 6)1% (won 20% of 92)
Entries 30–50¢30% (won 57% of 63)25% (won 44% of 2260)
Entries 50–70¢54% (won 51% of 115)40% (won 55% of 3534)
Entries 70¢ and up14% (won 86% of 29)34% (won 87% of 3004)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.