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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
beachboy4ndb1primmwhosay
Record (consensus markets)no settled market65% (902–484, n=1386)50% (1106–1117, n=2223)58% (1099–780, n=1879)
Consensus PnL—$4.8M$3.6M-$43K
Tracked as—PM monthly #102PM monthly #46PM monthly #680
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position71% (107 of 151 open)no open consensus position57% (4 of 7 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NBA +3 pts n=287, ROI +2%
  • Soccer +2 pts n=63, ROI +1%
Weakest topic—NFL −9 pts, n=139—Tennis −4 pts, n=686
Settled positions, side won—64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%58% of 2028 at avg 60¢, ROI −1%
Entries under 30¢—13% (won 15% of 168)5% (won 94% of 51)11% (won 16% of 228)
Entries 30–50¢—20% (won 39% of 256)41% (won 99% of 405)26% (won 36% of 531)
Entries 50–70¢—24% (won 58% of 314)49% (won 99% of 485)28% (won 58% of 565)
Entries 70¢ and up—43% (won 93% of 550)5% (won 100% of 46)35% (won 88% of 704)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.