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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
beachboy4ndb1primmtestest10
Record (consensus markets)no settled market63% (990–573, n=1563)50% (1106–1118, n=2224)39% (7–11, n=18)
Consensus PnL—$3.2M$3.6M$17K
Tracked as—PM monthly #106PM monthly #46PM monthly #427
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position74% (82 of 111 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yetnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic—NFL −9 pts, n=139——
Settled positions, side won—64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%99% of 1013 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%100% of 8 at avg 67¢, ROI +31%
Entries under 30¢—13% (won 15% of 168)5% (won 94% of 51)0%
Entries 30–50¢—20% (won 39% of 256)41% (won 99% of 412)25% (won 100% of 2)
Entries 50–70¢—24% (won 58% of 314)50% (won 99% of 503)13% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 70¢ and up—43% (won 93% of 550)5% (won 100% of 47)63% (won 100% of 5)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.