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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
beachboy4ndb1primmThanksGivingTurkey1001
Record (consensus markets)no settled market65% (902–484, n=1386)50% (1106–1117, n=2223)69% (240–108, n=348)
Consensus PnL—$4.8M$3.6M$68K
Tracked as—PM monthly #102PM monthly #46PM monthly #194
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position71% (107 of 151 open)no open consensus position82% (32 of 39 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic—NFL −9 pts, n=139——
Settled positions, side won—64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%76% of 334 at avg 73¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢—13% (won 15% of 168)5% (won 94% of 51)12% (won 23% of 39)
Entries 30–50¢—20% (won 39% of 256)41% (won 99% of 405)11% (won 46% of 37)
Entries 50–70¢—24% (won 58% of 314)49% (won 99% of 485)9% (won 67% of 30)
Entries 70¢ and up—43% (won 93% of 550)5% (won 100% of 46)68% (won 91% of 228)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketbeachboy4ndb1primmThanksGivingTurkey1001
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?
same side · consensus No
—No $87K—No $3.4K