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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| beachboy4 | ndb1 | primm | TKKnoallin | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 63% (989–572, n=1561) | 50% (1105–1117, n=2222) | 55% (105–87, n=192) |
| Consensus PnL | — | $3.2M | $3.6M | $8.6K |
| Tracked as | — | PM monthly #104 | PM monthly #46 | PM monthly #988 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 69% (61 of 88 open) | 100% (4 of 4 open) | 33% (1 of 3 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
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| Weakest topic | — | NFL −9 pts, n=139 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 99% of 1013 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 66% of 149 at avg 52¢, ROI +11% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 13% (won 15% of 168) | 5% (won 94% of 51) | 21% (won 28% of 32) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 20% (won 39% of 256) | 41% (won 99% of 412) | 19% (won 55% of 29) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 24% (won 58% of 314) | 50% (won 99% of 503) | 33% (won 76% of 49) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 43% (won 93% of 550) | 5% (won 100% of 47) | 26% (won 92% of 39) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | beachboy4 | ndb1 | primm | TKKnoallin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LoL: Dplus KIA vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner same side · consensus Bilibili Gaming | — | Dplus KIA $226 | — | Dplus KIA $535 |