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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
beachboy4ndb1TheWindKnowsmyName
Record (consensus markets)no settled market65% (885–467, n=1352)73% (161–59, n=220)
Consensus PnL—$4.2M-$96K
Tracked as—PM monthly #21was PM monthly #953
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position82% (28 of 34 open)53% (146 of 273 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • MMA +29 pts n=95, ROI +29%
Weakest topic—NFL −10 pts, n=132—
Settled positions, side won—64% of 1267 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%94% of 127 at avg 68¢, ROI +28%
Entries under 30¢—13% (won 16% of 160)9% (won 64% of 11)
Entries 30–50¢—20% (won 40% of 253)17% (won 95% of 21)
Entries 50–70¢—24% (won 57% of 310)14% (won 94% of 18)
Entries 70¢ and up—43% (won 93% of 544)61% (won 99% of 77)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.