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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| beachboy4 | ndb1 | RN1 | tugator | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 67% (43–21, n=64) | 66% (877–458, n=1335) | 47% (14377–16003, n=30380) | 12% (34–243, n=277) |
| Consensus PnL | $6.1M | $4.1M | $14.8M | -$135K |
| Tracked as | — | PM monthly #12 | PM monthly #23 + pinned | PM monthly #879 |
| Sides with the consensus | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 70% (28 of 40 open) | 58% (55 of 95 open) | 91% (81 of 89 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| none with 10+ settled | |
| Weakest topic | NBA −6 pts, n=93 | NFL −10 pts, n=132 | — | Crypto −34 pts, n=189 |
| Settled positions, side won | 57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 64% of 1267 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 94% of 25801 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 22% of 215 at avg 52¢, ROI −19% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 13% (won 16% of 160) | 10% (won 57% of 2606) | 5% (won 0% of 10) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 30% (won 57% of 63) | 20% (won 40% of 253) | 22% (won 94% of 5665) | 78% (won 10% of 167) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 24% (won 57% of 310) | 36% (won 99% of 9185) | 5% (won 36% of 11) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 43% (won 93% of 544) | 32% (won 100% of 8345) | 13% (won 100% of 27) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | beachboy4 | ndb1 | RN1 | tugator |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $3.5K | — | — | No $11K |