Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
beachboy4ndb1RN1skadii
Record (consensus markets)67% (43–21, n=64)66% (876–458, n=1334)47% (14348–15981, n=30329)47% (170–192, n=362)
Consensus PnL$6.1M$4.1M$14.8M-$45K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #24PM monthly #26PM monthly #18 + pinnedPM monthly #492
Sides with the consensus100% (1 of 1 open)72% (28 of 39 open)59% (121 of 205 open)0% (0 of 1 open)
Strongest topics
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topicNBA −6 pts, n=93NFL −10 pts, n=132——
Settled positions, side won57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%64% of 1267 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%94% of 25801 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%47% of 350 at avg 46¢, ROI −1%
Entries under 30¢3% (won 17% of 6)13% (won 16% of 160)10% (won 57% of 2606)27% (won 15% of 95)
Entries 30–50¢30% (won 57% of 63)20% (won 40% of 253)22% (won 94% of 5665)31% (won 42% of 109)
Entries 50–70¢54% (won 51% of 115)24% (won 57% of 310)36% (won 99% of 9185)25% (won 65% of 89)
Entries 70¢ and up14% (won 86% of 29)43% (won 93% of 544)32% (won 100% of 8345)16% (won 79% of 57)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.