Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
beachboy4joseph00677primmwhosay
Record (consensus markets)no settled market45% (10–12, n=22)50% (1144–1155, n=2299)59% (1119–793, n=1912)
Consensus PnL—$5.3M$3.6M-$39K
Tracked as—PM monthly #2PM monthly #47PM monthly #946
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus position75% (3 of 4 open)56% (5 of 9 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic———Tennis −3 pts, n=699
Settled positions, side won—59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%58% of 2076 at avg 60¢, ROI 0%
Entries under 30¢—12% (won 0% of 2)5% (won 94% of 51)11% (won 17% of 229)
Entries 30–50¢—6% (won 0% of 1)41% (won 99% of 421)26% (won 36% of 541)
Entries 50–70¢—65% (won 73% of 11)49% (won 99% of 508)28% (won 58% of 584)
Entries 70¢ and up—18% (won 67% of 3)5% (won 100% of 47)35% (won 88% of 722)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.