Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
beachboy4joseph00677primmThanksGivingTurkey1001
Record (consensus markets)no settled market53% (10–9, n=19)50% (1078–1087, n=2165)69% (204–92, n=296)
Consensus PnL—$5.6M$3.5M$68K
Tracked as—PM monthly #1PM monthly #50PM monthly #183
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus positionno open consensus position76% (29 of 38 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%75% of 330 at avg 73¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢—12% (won 0% of 2)5% (won 94% of 51)12% (won 23% of 39)
Entries 30–50¢—6% (won 0% of 1)41% (won 99% of 405)11% (won 46% of 37)
Entries 50–70¢—65% (won 73% of 11)49% (won 99% of 485)9% (won 66% of 29)
Entries 70¢ and up—18% (won 67% of 3)5% (won 100% of 46)68% (won 91% of 225)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.