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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
beachboy4joseph00677ndb1ThanksGivingTurkey1001
Record (consensus markets)no settled market45% (10–12, n=22)63% (993–578, n=1571)69% (242–108, n=350)
Consensus PnL—$5.3M$4.8M$68K
Tracked as—PM monthly #2PM monthly #97PM monthly #206
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus position71% (58 of 82 open)83% (33 of 40 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic——NFL −8 pts, n=147Crypto ±0 pts, n=132
Settled positions, side won—59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%76% of 340 at avg 73¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢—12% (won 0% of 2)13% (won 14% of 187)11% (won 23% of 39)
Entries 30–50¢—6% (won 0% of 1)19% (won 39% of 269)11% (won 46% of 37)
Entries 50–70¢—65% (won 73% of 11)23% (won 57% of 328)9% (won 67% of 30)
Entries 70¢ and up—18% (won 67% of 3)44% (won 94% of 622)69% (won 91% of 234)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketbeachboy4joseph00677ndb1ThanksGivingTurkey1001
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?
same side · consensus No
——No $87KNo $3.4K