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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| beachboy4 | joseph00677 | ndb1 | QuantDeLaFugazi | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 53% (10–9, n=19) | 66% (870–454, n=1324) | 65% (658–362, n=1020) |
| Consensus PnL | — | $5.6M | $4.2M | $111K |
| Tracked as | — | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #12 | Hand-picked |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | no open consensus position | 68% (25 of 37 open) | 64% (9 of 14 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | NBA −6 pts, n=93 | — | NFL −10 pts, n=132 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 64% of 1267 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 59% of 1509 at avg 51¢, ROI +6% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 13% (won 16% of 160) | 25% (won 21% of 374) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 30% (won 57% of 63) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 20% (won 40% of 253) | 23% (won 46% of 344) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 24% (won 57% of 310) | 23% (won 72% of 347) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 43% (won 93% of 544) | 29% (won 92% of 444) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | beachboy4 | joseph00677 | ndb1 | QuantDeLaFugazi |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus Yes | — | — | Yes $818K | Yes $2.5K |