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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| beachboy4 | ifyouloveme | ndb1 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 67% (43–21, n=64) | 54% (267–231, n=498) | 66% (876–458, n=1334) | 47% (14348–15981, n=30329) |
| Consensus PnL | $6.1M | $27K | $4.1M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #331 | PM monthly #26 | PM monthly #18 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 62% (23 of 37 open) | 72% (28 of 39 open) | 59% (34 of 58 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| ||
| Weakest topic | NBA −6 pts, n=93 | Geopolitics ±0 pts, n=82 | NFL −10 pts, n=132 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 50% of 455 at avg 47¢, ROI +1% | 64% of 1267 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 94% of 25801 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 38% (won 15% of 175) | 13% (won 16% of 160) | 10% (won 57% of 2606) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 30% (won 57% of 63) | 16% (won 52% of 71) | 20% (won 40% of 253) | 22% (won 94% of 5665) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 16% (won 58% of 73) | 24% (won 57% of 310) | 36% (won 99% of 9185) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 30% (won 90% of 136) | 43% (won 93% of 544) | 32% (won 100% of 8345) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | beachboy4 | ifyouloveme | ndb1 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $202 | No $4.0K | — |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus No | — | No $2.0K | No $1.9M | — |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $2.0K | Yes $777K | — |