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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
Add:RN1BreakTheBankjoseph00677sainttroplay0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-177764853424100gringo00
| beachboy4 | groth | ndb1 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 67% (43–21, n=64) | 76% (230–72, n=302) | 66% (872–458, n=1330) |
| Consensus PnL | $5.8M | $152K | $4.1M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #993 | PM monthly #25 |
| Sides with the consensus | 100% (2 of 2 open) | 66% (41 of 62 open) | 72% (93 of 129 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| |
| Weakest topic | NBA −6 pts, n=93 | — | NFL −10 pts, n=132 |
| Settled positions, side won | 57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 71% of 309 at avg 58¢, ROI +10% | 64% of 1267 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 29% (won 18% of 90) | 13% (won 16% of 160) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 30% (won 57% of 63) | 7% (won 62% of 21) | 20% (won 40% of 253) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 15% (won 87% of 46) | 24% (won 57% of 310) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 49% (won 98% of 152) | 43% (won 93% of 544) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | beachboy4 | groth | ndb1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $765 | No $78K |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $765 | Yes $30K |