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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| beachboy4 | crmannetje | joseph00677 | ndb1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 67% (43–21, n=64) | 48% (16–17, n=33) | 53% (10–9, n=19) | 66% (877–458, n=1335) |
| Consensus PnL | $6.1M | $42K | $5.6M | $4.1M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #374 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #12 |
| Sides with the consensus | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | no open consensus position | 74% (28 of 38 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | NBA −6 pts, n=93 | Soccer −5 pts, n=10 | — | NFL −10 pts, n=132 |
| Settled positions, side won | 57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 60% of 20 at avg 46¢, ROI +23% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 64% of 1267 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 30% (won 33% of 6) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 13% (won 16% of 160) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 30% (won 57% of 63) | 20% (won 50% of 4) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 20% (won 40% of 253) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 45% (won 78% of 9) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 24% (won 57% of 310) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 5% (won 100% of 1) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 43% (won 93% of 544) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | beachboy4 | crmannetje | joseph00677 | ndb1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $22K | — | No $3.1K |