Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
beachboy4RN1whosay
Record (consensus markets)67% (43–21, n=64)47% (14348–15981, n=30329)58% (1113–799, n=1912)
Consensus PnL$6.1M$14.8M-$41K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #24PM monthly #18 + pinnedPM monthly #635
Sides with the consensus100% (1 of 1 open)59% (39 of 66 open)50% (4 of 8 open)
Strongest topics
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
Weakest topicNBA −6 pts, n=93—Tennis −3 pts, n=691
Settled positions, side won57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%94% of 25801 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%58% of 2081 at avg 59¢, ROI −1%
Entries under 30¢3% (won 17% of 6)10% (won 57% of 2606)11% (won 16% of 239)
Entries 30–50¢30% (won 57% of 63)22% (won 94% of 5665)26% (won 35% of 547)
Entries 50–70¢54% (won 51% of 115)36% (won 99% of 9185)28% (won 58% of 583)
Entries 70¢ and up14% (won 86% of 29)32% (won 100% of 8345)34% (won 88% of 712)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketbeachboy4RN1whosay
Rolex Paris Masters: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Arthur Gea
opposite sides · consensus Jan-Lennard Struff
—Arthur Gea $13KJan-Lennard Struff $2.1K