Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

sainttroplay: no tracked trader by that name or wallet.

Traders side by side
beachboy4Malfunction.ndb1
Record (consensus markets)no settled market98% (11580–286, n=11866)65% (889–469, n=1358)
Consensus PnL—$635K$4.2M
Tracked as—PM monthly #265PM monthly #96
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position100% (6 of 6 open)73% (33 of 45 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic—Geopolitics −6 pts, n=15NFL −9 pts, n=139
Settled positions, side won—96% of 11110 at avg 96¢, ROI 0%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%
Entries under 30¢—2% (won 19% of 221)13% (won 15% of 168)
Entries 30–50¢—2% (won 50% of 203)20% (won 39% of 256)
Entries 50–70¢—1% (won 57% of 165)24% (won 58% of 314)
Entries 70¢ and up—95% (won 99% of 10521)43% (won 93% of 550)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.