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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
beachboy4Flaznorpprimmwesolyjasiu
Record (consensus markets)no settled market52% (6551–6119, n=12670)50% (1144–1155, n=2299)99% (1963–14, n=1977)
Consensus PnL—$3.7M$3.6M$9.5K
Tracked as—PM monthly #13PM monthly #47PM monthly #660
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position69% (246 of 354 open)75% (3 of 4 open)100% (1 of 1 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22——
Settled positions, side won—56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%100% of 1559 at avg 99¢, ROI 0%
Entries under 30¢—29% (won 11% of 465)5% (won 94% of 51)0% (won 0% of 4)
Entries 30–50¢—16% (won 40% of 255)41% (won 99% of 421)0% (won 40% of 5)
Entries 50–70¢—16% (won 62% of 260)49% (won 99% of 508)0% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 70¢ and up—39% (won 94% of 637)5% (won 100% of 47)99% (won 100% of 1549)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.