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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
beachboy4Flaznorpprimmvtcchampion52
Record (consensus markets)no settled market53% (5928–5310, n=11238)50% (1078–1087, n=2165)46% (269–313, n=582)
Consensus PnL—$3.3M$3.6M$73K
Tracked as—PM monthly #21PM monthly #50PM monthly #288
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position66% (285 of 431 open)0% (0 of 1 open)67% (10 of 15 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22——
Settled positions, side won—56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%45% of 531 at avg 44¢, ROI +3%
Entries under 30¢—29% (won 11% of 423)5% (won 94% of 51)42% (won 3% of 223)
Entries 30–50¢—16% (won 40% of 243)41% (won 99% of 405)17% (won 33% of 88)
Entries 50–70¢—17% (won 62% of 255)49% (won 99% of 485)13% (won 78% of 69)
Entries 70¢ and up—38% (won 94% of 561)5% (won 100% of 46)28% (won 99% of 151)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketbeachboy4Flaznorpprimmvtcchampion52
Ball State vs. UMass
opposite sides · consensus UMass
—UMass $444Ball State $18—