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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
beachboy4Flaznorpprimmvtcchampion52
Record (consensus markets)no settled market53% (5916–5289, n=11205)50% (1076–1085, n=2161)46% (263–311, n=574)
Consensus PnL—$3.3M$3.5M$85K
Tracked as—PM monthly #22PM monthly #49PM monthly #284
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position72% (153 of 213 open)no open consensus position69% (9 of 13 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22——
Settled positions, side won—56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%99% of 955 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%45% of 531 at avg 44¢, ROI +3%
Entries under 30¢—29% (won 11% of 423)5% (won 94% of 50)42% (won 3% of 223)
Entries 30–50¢—16% (won 40% of 243)41% (won 99% of 392)17% (won 33% of 88)
Entries 50–70¢—17% (won 62% of 255)49% (won 99% of 469)13% (won 78% of 69)
Entries 70¢ and up—38% (won 94% of 561)5% (won 100% of 44)28% (won 99% of 151)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.