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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
beachboy4Flaznorpprimmryou999
Record (consensus markets)no settled market52% (6506–6010, n=12516)50% (1105–1118, n=2223)33% (13–27, n=40)
Consensus PnL—$3.3M$3.6M$43K
Tracked as—PM monthly #24PM monthly #46PM monthly #818
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position73% (171 of 235 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22——
Settled positions, side won—56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%39% of 33 at avg 41¢, ROI +9%
Entries under 30¢—29% (won 11% of 465)5% (won 94% of 51)45% (won 7% of 15)
Entries 30–50¢—16% (won 40% of 255)41% (won 99% of 405)24% (won 50% of 8)
Entries 50–70¢—16% (won 62% of 260)49% (won 99% of 485)24% (won 75% of 8)
Entries 70¢ and up—39% (won 94% of 637)5% (won 100% of 46)6% (won 100% of 2)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.