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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
beachboy4Flaznorpjoseph00677laidaodao
Record (consensus markets)no settled market53% (5927–5304, n=11231)53% (10–9, n=19)68% (30–14, n=44)
Consensus PnL—$3.3M$5.6M$255
Tracked as—PM monthly #21PM monthly #1PM monthly #139
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position62% (248 of 397 open)no open consensus position100% (8 of 8 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22—Geopolitics −8 pts, n=15
Settled positions, side won—56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%72% of 32 at avg 73¢, ROI −1%
Entries under 30¢—29% (won 11% of 423)12% (won 0% of 2)22% (won 0% of 7)
Entries 30–50¢—16% (won 40% of 243)6% (won 0% of 1)3% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 50–70¢—17% (won 62% of 255)65% (won 73% of 11)0%
Entries 70¢ and up—38% (won 94% of 561)18% (won 67% of 3)75% (won 92% of 24)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.