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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
beachboy4Flaznorpjoseph00677ThanksGivingTurkey1001
Record (consensus markets)no settled market53% (5890–5273, n=11163)53% (10–9, n=19)69% (203–91, n=294)
Consensus PnL—$3.3M$5.6M$72K
Tracked as—PM monthly #22PM monthly #1PM monthly #182
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position70% (157 of 223 open)no open consensus position75% (27 of 36 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22—Crypto ±0 pts, n=133
Settled positions, side won—56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%76% of 328 at avg 73¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢—29% (won 11% of 423)12% (won 0% of 2)12% (won 24% of 38)
Entries 30–50¢—16% (won 40% of 243)6% (won 0% of 1)11% (won 44% of 36)
Entries 50–70¢—17% (won 62% of 255)65% (won 73% of 11)9% (won 66% of 29)
Entries 70¢ and up—38% (won 94% of 561)18% (won 67% of 3)69% (won 91% of 225)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.