← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | rayvanmechelen | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 45% (546–663, n=1209) | 88% (2291–318, n=2609) | 47% (12761–14165, n=26926) |
| Consensus PnL | — | $11.2M | $32K | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | — | PM monthly #2 | was PM monthly #1000 | PM monthly #23 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 69% (44 of 64 open) | 59% (13 of 22 open) | 66% (77 of 117 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | NBA −6 pts, n=93 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 98% of 981 at avg 56¢, ROI +45% | 94% of 25801 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 10% (won 81% of 57) | 2% (won 95% of 21) | 10% (won 57% of 2606) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 30% (won 57% of 63) | 36% (won 98% of 201) | 32% (won 98% of 318) | 22% (won 94% of 5665) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 35% (won 99% of 196) | 52% (won 98% of 506) | 36% (won 99% of 9185) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 19% (won 100% of 109) | 14% (won 98% of 136) | 32% (won 100% of 8345) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | rayvanmechelen | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Southampton FC win on 2026-11-03? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $595 | Yes $947 |
| Huddersfield Town AFC vs. Luton Town FC: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $10 | Over $431 |
| Will Wigan Athletic FC win on 2026-10-03? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | Yes $28 | No $225 |
| Will Sportivo San Lorenzo win on 2026-11-08? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | — | No $6 | Yes $42 |
| Will Derby County FC win on 2026-11-03? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $10 | Yes $24 |
| Blackburn Rovers FC vs. Stoke City FC: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $10 | Under $10 |
| Taipei: Harold Mayot vs Petr Bar Biryukov same side · consensus Harold Mayot | — | — | Harold Mayot $7 | Harold Mayot $34K |
| Will Norwich City FC win on 2026-11-03? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $248 | No $2 |