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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | nehaip | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 45% (546–663, n=1209) | no settled market | 47% (12761–14165, n=26926) |
| Consensus PnL | — | $11.2M | $931 | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | — | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #575 | PM monthly #23 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 68% (39 of 57 open) | 79% (11 of 14 open) | 65% (59 of 91 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet | not computed yet |
| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | — | 94% of 25801 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 10% (won 81% of 57) | — | 10% (won 57% of 2606) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 36% (won 98% of 201) | — | 22% (won 94% of 5665) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 35% (won 99% of 196) | — | 36% (won 99% of 9185) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 19% (won 100% of 109) | — | 32% (won 100% of 8345) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
5 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | nehaip | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $235K | Yes $138 | — |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $21K | No $4.0K | — |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $240K | Yes $9.9K | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $46K | Yes $3.1K | — |
| Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | — | No $28K | No $848 | — |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $5.4K | Yes $7.6K | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | — | No $795 | No $8.4K | — |