← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | ndb1 | wpj | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 45% (546–663, n=1209) | 66% (870–454, n=1324) | 39% (12–19, n=31) |
| Consensus PnL | — | $11.2M | $4.2M | $28K |
| Tracked as | — | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #12 | PM monthly #975 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 68% (39 of 57 open) | 69% (25 of 36 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
| none with 10+ settled | |
| Weakest topic | — | — | NFL −10 pts, n=132 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 64% of 1267 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 37% of 27 at avg 41¢, ROI −4% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 10% (won 81% of 57) | 13% (won 16% of 160) | 37% (won 0% of 10) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 36% (won 98% of 201) | 20% (won 40% of 253) | 22% (won 33% of 6) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 35% (won 99% of 196) | 24% (won 57% of 310) | 19% (won 60% of 5) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 19% (won 100% of 109) | 43% (won 93% of 544) | 22% (won 83% of 6) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.