← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | ndb1 | vtcchampion52 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 67% (43–21, n=64) | 45% (547–663, n=1210) | 66% (877–458, n=1335) | 46% (266–312, n=578) |
| Consensus PnL | $6.1M | $11.0M | $4.1M | $49K |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #12 | PM monthly #382 |
| Sides with the consensus | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 62% (40 of 65 open) | 73% (27 of 37 open) | 57% (4 of 7 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled | ||
| Weakest topic | NBA −6 pts, n=93 | — | NFL −10 pts, n=132 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 64% of 1267 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 45% of 532 at avg 44¢, ROI +3% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 10% (won 81% of 57) | 13% (won 16% of 160) | 42% (won 3% of 222) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 30% (won 57% of 63) | 36% (won 98% of 201) | 20% (won 40% of 253) | 17% (won 33% of 88) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 35% (won 99% of 196) | 24% (won 57% of 310) | 14% (won 76% of 72) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 19% (won 100% of 109) | 43% (won 93% of 544) | 28% (won 99% of 150) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
5 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.