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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | joseph00677 | peasant | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 45% (546–663, n=1209) | 53% (10–9, n=19) | no settled market |
| Consensus PnL | — | $11.2M | $5.6M | — |
| Tracked as | — | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #537 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 68% (36 of 53 open) | no open consensus position | 78% (7 of 9 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
|
| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | Politics −6 pts, n=50 |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 58% of 250 at avg 57¢, ROI +6% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 10% (won 81% of 57) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 22% (won 11% of 54) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 36% (won 98% of 201) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 17% (won 38% of 42) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 35% (won 99% of 196) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 21% (won 60% of 52) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 19% (won 100% of 109) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 41% (won 90% of 102) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | joseph00677 | peasant |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $378K | — | Yes $16K |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $241K | — | Yes $51K |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | — | No $845 | — | No $26K |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $5.8K | — | Yes $1.9K |