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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
beachboy4BreakTheBankifyoulovemesainttroplay
Record (consensus markets)no settled market45% (549–663, n=1212)54% (283–239, n=522)no settled market
Consensus PnL—$11.2M$38K—
Tracked as—PM monthly #2PM monthly #309—
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position66% (25 of 38 open)60% (46 of 77 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +51 pts n=141, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=280, ROI +38%
  • Tech +11 pts n=90, ROI +9%
  • NFL +3 pts n=46, ROI −1%
  • Politics +7 pts n=26, ROI +2%
not computed yet
Weakest topic——Geopolitics ±0 pts, n=82—
Settled positions, side won—97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%50% of 455 at avg 47¢, ROI +1%—
Entries under 30¢—10% (won 81% of 57)38% (won 15% of 175)—
Entries 30–50¢—36% (won 98% of 201)16% (won 52% of 71)—
Entries 50–70¢—35% (won 99% of 196)16% (won 58% of 73)—
Entries 70¢ and up—19% (won 100% of 109)30% (won 90% of 136)—

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketbeachboy4BreakTheBankifyoulovemesainttroplay
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $56KYes $1.5K—
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $2.9KYes $606—
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $2Yes $2.6K—