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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | Newshound | sainttroplay | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 67% (43–21, n=64) | 45% (547–663, n=1210) | 71% (692–276, n=968) | 71% (10–4, n=14) |
| Consensus PnL | $6.1M | $11.0M | $65K | $4.4M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #793 | was PM monthly #11 |
| Sides with the consensus | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 60% (68 of 113 open) | 45% (9 of 20 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | NBA −6 pts, n=93 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 72% of 968 at avg 59¢, ROI +9% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 10% (won 81% of 57) | 23% (won 23% of 218) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 30% (won 57% of 63) | 36% (won 98% of 201) | 13% (won 65% of 124) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 35% (won 99% of 196) | 17% (won 76% of 169) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 19% (won 100% of 109) | 47% (won 95% of 457) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | Newshound | sainttroplay |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | No $52K | Yes $524 | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $607 | Yes $410 | — |
| Will Republicans win Iowa and Maine, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $38K | Yes $106 | — |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | — | Yes $33K | Yes $2.4K | — |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $4.2K | Yes $710 | — |